Basic Theory
Assume that a kiln is a hollow shape with uniform thickness of fire-brick or other insulating material. The inside is hot and held at temperature Cin , The outside is relatively cool and held at temperature Cout. Then there is a heat loss by conduction through the insulating material with is proportional to the temperature difference (Cin - Cout). The temperature at the inside face of the insulation is Cin , at the outside face Cout, halfway in between (Cin + Cout)/2, and so on for all intermediate positions in the thickness. In other words Heat loss = k x (Cin - Cout), where k is some constant number for all kilns of the same construction (shape and insulating material).
Now assume that Cin drops slowly, but so slowly that this relationship is still approximately correct. Assume further that the hot mass of the kiln is mostly inside the kiln. Then by integrating the heat loss, the temperature Cin will fall as Cmax times e (2.71828...) to the power -t/T, where T is a kiln 'time constant' dependent on the hot mass and the insulation. (See the equation in the sidebar, and a graph of this function for T = 2 hr, Cmax = 800°C and Cout = 30°C.)
T is characteristic of the loaded kiln, and for small loads of glass will not change much. Putting a heavy item inside such as a clay mold or a thicker shelf will increase T because of more hot stuff. More or thicker insulation will also increase it by reducing heat loss.